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- <text id=94TT1730>
- <title>
- Dec. 12, 1994: Bosnia:What Washington Wants?
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1994
- Dec. 12, 1994 To the Dogs
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- BOSNIA, Page 30
- Who Can Tell What Washington Wants?
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>By J.F.O. McAllister/Washington--With reporting by Douglas Waller/Washington
- </p>
- <p> What a mess in Washington too. From the outset, Bill Clinton's
- Bosnia policy has been equal parts wishful thinking, domestic
- politics and bluff; now it has virtually disintegrated under
- the pressure of the Bosnian Serbs and quarreling presidential
- advisers. The Serb triumph at Bihac has brought home the extent
- of Washington's failure and opened a bitter debate about what
- to do next. "Our policy is in complete disarray," admits a senior
- official. The debacle on the battlefield left the White House,
- senior Administration officials and a leading legislator separately
- enunciating contradictory positions.
- </p>
- <p> Even before Secretary of State Warren Christopher traveled to
- Brussels to reiterate U.S. commitment to the Contact Group plan--which would give 51% of Bosnia's territory to a federation
- of Bosnia's Croats and Muslims and 49% to the Bosnian Serbs--the Pentagon was urging Clinton to cut his losses and compromise
- with the Serbs. Aides to Secretary of Defense William Perry
- warned him that NATO was being torn apart over Bosnia, and the
- Administration's demands for air strikes on Bihac had only deepened
- the rift. The Joint Chiefs of Staff advised that no military
- threats from NATO would bring the Serbs to a political settlement.
- According to a position paper classified secret, prepared for
- Perry and obtained by TIME, "we should recognize that nothing
- about Bosnia is worth a serious split with our NATO allies...We are at the point where we risk losing not only Bosnia
- but ((also)) NATO." An Administration official who read an intelligence
- report based on electronic eavesdropping said the document had
- advised that Paris might be purposely inflaming tensions over
- Bosnia to drive a wedge between Britain and the U.S. France,
- according to the intelligence analysis, would like to see NATO
- broken up and replaced by a European security alliance.
- </p>
- <p> All this led Perry to arrive at the White House Monday with
- a position paper advocating an "illusion-free Bosnia policy"
- that would "stop advancing proposals we know the allies will...reject." Among its directives: tell the Bosnian government
- "that they will have to accept less" territory than the 51%
- awarded them by the Contact Group; drop any thought of lifting
- the arms embargo; and accept a confederation of the Bosnian
- and Croatian Serbs and Belgrade. The Defense Secretary publicly
- floated the confederation idea the next morning, as newspapers
- trumpeted a major reversal in U.S. policy.
- </p>
- <p> That provoked an uproar at the State Department and the National
- Security Council, both of which thought Perry had agreed to
- something quite different at the White House meeting. "Perry
- stepped in a cesspool with that confederation idea," fumed a
- top official. "That's a code word for annexation. Our policy
- is to uphold certain basic principles," including Bosnia's sovereignty.
- Christopher called in reporters to deny any change in U.S. policy.
- National Security Adviser Anthony Lake delivered a speech in
- Princeton, New Jersey, siding with State and repudiating any
- notion of Serb confederation, though he admitted it was "up
- to the parties to agree on future constitutional arrangements."
- In Brussels, Christopher proposed a big international conference
- to work out a settlement along the lines of the old Contact
- Group plan in a few months. "It's fair to say this policy has
- limited prospects of success," admits a senior official.
- </p>
- <p> According to another secret memo TIME has obtained, which Perry
- sent Lake later in the week, Perry wants to have NATO assume
- complete command of any evacuation of peacekeeping troops should
- that become necessary. It might, if Republican Majority Leader
- Bob Dole's plan to lift the arms embargo unilaterally and mount
- aggressive NATO air strikes passes Congress. NATO could be forced
- to attempt a "hostile extraction" of U.N. forces, and at least
- 10,000 American troops would be needed. In fact NATO is already
- speeding up its evacuation planning, and Perry asked for authority
- to tell the alliance the U.S. would participate. By week's end,
- Clinton hadn't made up his mind--leaving another part of his
- Bosnia policy drifting.
-
- </p></body>
- </article>
- </text>
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